Stock Report
The general consensus is that the market is in a bit of a questionable place right now. The U.S. is printing trillions of dollars. There is visible inflation (gas, food prices, consumer goods, etc.). The bond market is shaking. The NASDAQ was positive for the day, but is still down over the last month (-6.9%) and barely up over three months (+1.20%).
Today we saw $CAN (+50%), $MSTR (+14.71%), and $TSLA (+19.64%) have a nice day, but that can be solely explained by a run up in Bitcoin coupled with an overly exaggerated sell-off over the last couple of weeks. By the way, these gains contribute greatly to the gain of the indices for the day.
For what it is worth, Bitcoin is up over 15% for the last month and 189% over the last three months. This shows you how fast the US dollar is deflating. Just wait until the next $1.9T is printed and released. I believe that is tomorrow, or sometime this week.
The Indices vs. Bitcoin
So we have the NASDAQ down 6% in the last month and Bitcoin up 15%. Staying in cash lost you 15% against Bitcoin. Betting on the NASDAQ cost you another 6%, bringing your total to a loss of 21%. That’s not a great way to start the year. Maybe you were in the Dow Jones 100. The Dow is up 1.23% in the last month, so that only puts you down about 14%. There is always the S&P 500, which is down 1.18% over the last month. That brings your loss to 16%.
Cash and Bitcoin
For what it’s worth, all of my IRAs and 401k holdings are in cash. That stops the bleeding some. The cash holdings are really disappointing and are really only there while I weigh the true cost of the penalties versus the potential gains elsewhere. Wherever I have straight brokerage accounts, or cash bank accounts, I have moved nearly all of that money to the “inflation” shelter of Bitcoin. Yes, I said it. Yes, I believe it. As much as I like the stock report and trying to pick the best stocks, I like the dollar I have today to have the same spending power tomorrow. The best way to make that happen right now is Bitcoin.
Final Thoughts
Be careful of the financial media trying to sculpt a message of prosperity and success. There tends to be a grasping for positive market news right now. Meanwhile, there are several people heading for the exits. It is possible to find a sector, a stock, a commodity, or a timeframe that is green.
Final Questions
Ask yourself questions like these. What is the market really doing? What happens when there is inflation? What happens when interest rates rise? What is the effect of printing money? What does that really do to the economy and to the price of stocks, bonds, commodities, and other assets? What happens when the March treasuries expire? What happens when payment deferments end in June?
With all of this being said, here are the buys, sells, and favorites.
Buys
- BCOR
- HDB
- NVST
- RDUS
- ZUMZ
Sells
- ATRC
- BOOT
- SCCO
- SIVB
- WD
Favorites
Bitcoin @ $53,652.11. Buy as much as you can. Remember, you can by to the eighth decimal place, so there are no excuses.
Runners to Consider (From the Holds)
- CAN
- MSTR
- TSLA
Quick Crypto
A quick cryptocurrency update.
BTC – $53,652.11 (-1.15%)
DOGE – $0.05596 (-5.50%)
ETH – $1,793.15 (-2.79%)
LTC – $194.61 (-2.83%)
